• Best Online Betting Sports
• Sports Betting Systems That Work
• Free Sports Betting Systems
• Show Betting System

NFL Betting Systems: The Definitive Guide to the Top Strategies

How big is the football betting market?

Forget baseball.

Simply copy a system made by other users or even the Bet Labs Pros. Turn it into a system with our filters With our easy-to-use system builder and 400+ filters spanning the NFL, NCAA Football, NBA. Voters in 47 of the 64 parishes approved betting on fantasy sports in late 2018. Legislators and regulators then had to create the rules and the tax level before the State Police could invite operators to apply. In another expansion of gambling, voters in 55 parishes supported the legalization of betting on real sports. Our Betting Methodology and System The Simulator is built based on a predictive model created by a doctor with an extensive background in mathematics, psychology, and operations research. This individual has worked with multiple professional and collegiate sports organizations, player agents, sports. Integrate Betfair data and betting operations into any kind of application, on any platform. We have the API's, data and tools you need to develop rich, customised betting interfaces for your own use or to distribute to customers. Build web-applications! Enable Betfair Exchange betting on your website. Start by choosing your betting unit. We always recommend 2-3%. The Fibonacci sequence starts with zero, but ignore that number and start with the second number (1). The sequence is as follows, 1, 1, 2.

America’s favorite pastime is football.

The proof is in the pudding. And the Vegas sportsbooks. Football is by far the most bet on sport in the United States. To be specific, the Super Bowl.

This past year alone, the American Gaming Association estimated bettors to have wagered upwards of $4.7 billion dollars on the nation’s most-watched sporting event.

Despite an ongoing federal ban on sports betting outside Nevada (and sparingly in certain other states), the majority of that money comes from illegal bets placed outside of the Sagebrush State.

That’s right.

Only $132M of that $4.7B is considered legal.

And yet, betting for the sport continues to increase with each passing year. According to Jimmy Vaccaro, a prominent Las Vegas bookmaker, Americans wager upwards of $50 billion a year on NFL and college football combined.

That being said, the majority of bettors fail to turn a profit.

According to Dan Gordon, a top football handicapper and author of Beat the Sports Books(Cardoza Publishing 2005), throughout an entire NFL season, “fewer than one bettor in twelve turns a profit. Over the course of several seasons, the percentage of bettors who turn a profit is minuscule.”

Why do most NFL betting systems fail?

Well a standard bet requires bettors to wage $11 for every $10 they want to win. The extra $1 is called the juice.

Were it not for the juice, things might be different.

The average bettor might have a chance at real success. But as it stands, the odds and the money favor the bookmakers. A sports bettor has to select 52.4 percent winners simply to break even. But each year, the average Joe wins only 50 percent of the bets they make.

Treat NFL betting for what it is — a sophisticated network of constantly changing data points pouring through equally sophisticated predictive algorithms —

So it’s an uphill battle for most bettors dipping their toes in the waters of sports gambling.

The trick is to take things seriously.

Treat betting for what it is — a sophisticated network of constantly changing data points pouring through equally sophisticated predictive algorithms — and you might just have a chance at going from square to sharp.

But don’t be overwhelmed.

If you’re reading this, chances are you’re a serious bettor looking to make some well-informed decisions to take your football betting to another level.

Before we get into the fundamentals of NFL betting, let’s first take a look at the basics of our very own predictive wager system.

Our Betting Methodology and System

The Simulator is built based on a predictive model created by a doctor with an extensive background in mathematics, psychology, and operations research.

This individual has worked with multiple professional and collegiate sports organizations, player agents, sports data agencies and a top-ranked fantasy website. His work with professional sports organizations includes optimizing scout travel, in-depth player analysis and lineup configurations.

Correctly predict the winning team 74.33 percent of the time (on average) as compared to the experts who were correct 68.67 percent of the time

Among his greatest innovations was the discovery of neural networks as a powerful tool for sports betting.

A neural network is defined as a computer system modeled on the human brain and nervous system.

Using this technology, the good doctor found that, “the best networks were able to correctly predict the winning team 74.33 percent of the time (on average) as compared to the experts who were correct 68.67 percent of the time.”

While the model was initially developed around NBA betting, it has since been applied to other sports — chief among them, the NFL.

What makes the Sports Analytics Simulator unique is that it relies not on data inputs (statistics) from previous seasons, but on continuous game-to-game updates.

The Simulator’s specific algorithms run through up to forty different stat categories to create the most efficient model possible.

From this model, we derive our picks for each game. And the best part is, our system is a living, breathing predictive model — it possesses machine learning capacities that allow to detect trends and potentials that we mere humans could only dream of finding.

For more information, check out this handy dandy video on how it works.

NFL Betting Systems

Now that we’ve gotten that out of the way, let’s talk about the fundamentals of NFL Betting. Essentially there are six different ways to bet on the NFL. Let’s run through them shall we?

NFL Spread Bet

The first and most popular form of NFL betting is spread-based. Which is pretty straightforward.

Bookmakers set a spread with a favorite and an underdog. In order for you to win on a bet of this nature, one team must cover the spread — so if the spread is -7 in favor of the Chiefs over the Steelers, the Chiefs must win by seven points or more.

Whereas in order for the Steelers to cover the spread, they must either lose by less than seven points, or win. To make it simpler, the spread gives the underdog a ‘head start’.

In this case, the Steelers have a +7 head start in points to kick off the game. Pretty straightforward stuff.

Now, if you simply want to bet on the winner of the game you’ll want to place a…

Moneyline Bet

Moneyline betting is an equally common form of sports betting as spread bets. The difference is that with moneylines, bookmakers will set lines representing the favorite and the underdog.

Let’s go back to this Chiefs-Steelers matchup.

Let’s say the Chiefs have a favored line of -150 and the Steelers have an underdog line of +125.

What this means is that in order to win a hundred dollars on the Chiefs, you must wage $150.

As for the underdogs, if you wage $100 you will win $125. So that’s that.

NFL Totals Bet

NFL totals betting is rather self-exploratory. Also known as over/under, this form of betting involves placing a wager on the total number of points scored by both teams combined in a game.

Let’s say bookmakers set an over/under of 55 points for the Chiefs and Steelers.

Your job as a bettor is to decide whether the score will be… over or under 55 points.

NFL Prop Bet

A prop bet is a special kind of bet that has nothing to do with the outcome or final score of a game.

Prop bets come in many different forms.

Some of them are player-based — how many yards or touchdowns a specific player scores. Some of them are based in live betting, i.e. if a team scores on a specific drive.

During the Super Bowl you’ll see all sorts of fun prop bets like coin toss wagers.

NFL Parlay Bet

You might have seen a parlay bet featured in the film, Silver Linings Playbook, (or read it in the book), wherein Pat Solitano’s father, Patrizio Sr., places a bet on the Eagles-Cowboys game and the judge outcome of Pat and Tiffany’s dance number in a local dance-off.

In order for Patrizio to win the bet, the Eagles must win their game against Dallas and Tiffany and Pat score 5 out of 10 in their dance competition.

This is what’s known as a parlay bet, wherein various games and outcomes are rubber-banded together into one single bet.

In order for the bettor to win the wager, all outcomes must unfold accordingly. This might involve a handful of other bets such as a totals bet and a moneyline bet.

In the NFL, this is a common form of betting to get more bang for your buck.

NFL Teaser Bet

A teaser bet is a form of parlay that involves a combination of two to ten NFL wagers in which you adjust the point spreads and/or totals in your favor in exchange for a lower payout.

When your teaser includes a point spread, you have the option to decrease the spread for the favorite or increase the spread for the underdog.

When you’re teasing a total, you can increase the under or decrease the over.

Like a parlay, winning the bet is dependent on all of the wagers winning.

Standard teasers are 6, 6.5 and 7-point. There’s also a sweetheart teaser, which offers you the choice to tease a line by 10 or 13 points.

It’s basically a parlay with a little bit of zazz.

The Most Important NFL Betting Stats

Now, knowing the forms of NFL betting is great but without the statistics to back up your wager, you’re S.O.L.

So what are the most important stats for successfully determining winners in an NFL game?

Well, it might not be what you think.

According to a prominent Vegas oddsmaker, one of the most integral statistics for betting the NFL is… duh duh duh dahhh… pass yards per attempt.

Teams that are successful and efficient in their passing game tend to carry the edge over their less successful opponents

In a passer’s league this makes a lot of sense.

Teams that are successful and efficient in their passing game tend to carry the edge over their less successful opponents. Taking this little known or acknowledged stat into account in your handicapping will no doubt help you find success in your waging.

The other big stat to consider in placing your bets is turnovers.

Seems pretty simple.

The team who averages more turnovers per game is likely to give up more scoring opportunities and thus the whole game.

As we’ve said, the Sports Analytics Simulator utilizes up-to-date, real time game-to-game statistics to establish the most accurate predictions week in and week out. So it goes without saying that our model analyzes far more than just turnovers and passing yards per attempt.

Nonetheless, betting in any case involves a level of intuition. Therefore, even if you subscribe to the Simulator, it would behoove you to do your own research. Check out important stats. Take your time with each pick. Choose wisely based on time-tested methods and patterns.

Factors for NFL picks?

Aside from the aforementioned factors, you’ve got to consider other dynamics. For instance, what is the most pivotal quality of any team in the NFL?

I’ll give you a hint. It’s not a good quarterback. Teams with good quarterbacks flounder all the time in the NFL.

If an O-Line is good, the quarterback and running back will look good too. And you better bet your bottom dollar that an NFL team with a solid O-Line is far more likely to go the distance than a team with big holes and weaknesses in their front five

What really matters is the team’s offensive line.

Think the 2016-17 Dallas Cowboys. Sure, they failed to win a Super Bowl with a rookie quarterback and running back. But the majority of their success last season was owed directly to the strength of their offensive line.

If an O-Line is good, the quarterback and running back will look good too. And you better bet your bottom dollar that an NFL team with a solid O-Line is far more likely to go the distance than a team with big holes and weaknesses in their front five.

In order to successfully bet the NFL, you’ve got to consider these more understated and under-appreciated factors — such as a strong O-Line.

You’ve got to take it game by game and know that in this league, fortunes shift in an instant. There’s no perfect formula for effective betting.

But that doesn’t mean there aren’t resources and numbers at your disposal to help you get the edge on oddsmakers.

With that said, let’s explore some of the biggest mistakes that squares (amateur bettors) often make when betting on the NFL.

Biggest mistakes with NFL betting

Money Management

The biggest mistake is money management.

If you have a $1,000 bankroll for the season, you should generally bet no more than $50 a game.

This seems pretty obvious but you’d be surprised (or maybe not) at the trouble amateur bettors have with this one.

It’s simple.

Don’t bet what you can’t afford to lose.

That means knowing what your bankroll is for a given season and being disciplined with your money. “Most people with an understanding of football gambling bet between 3 percent and 5 percent of their bankroll, increasing when they win and reducing when they lose,” says Jimmy Vaccaro. “If you have a $1,000 bankroll for the season, you should generally bet no more than $50 a game.”

Shop the Numbers

Another big mistake amateurs make is that they don’t account for a variety of numbers.

No sportsbook is exactly the same as another.

Lines, differentials, totals, spreads will all look different depending on where you look. In the NFL, you might not think that .5 points is a significant. But you’d be wrong. So shop the numbers.

Don’t say yes to the first line you see.

Shopping the numbers will give you a better idea of potential outcomes and allow you to make a well-rounded decision on your bets.

What else? Well, let’s start with something basic.

Bet the Underdog at Home

There is probably no better bet in sports than playing an underdog at home

You might think betting on the favorite is the obvious option every time but you’d be wrong. “There is probably no better bet in sports than playing an underdog at home,” says Morey “Doc” Moseman, a professional gambler and sports consultant with DocSports.com for nearly 40 years. “Teams play inspired ball at home.

Slim underdogs regularly win outright.

Big underdogs often find ways to cover the spread and they rarely give up toward the end of a game in front of the home crowd.”

To revisit a favorite example, the Chiefs tend to claim the edge in the majority of their home games, no matter their status on the betting lines.

Why?

Because there’s magic at Arrowhead.

There’s more to lose when you’re playing before 150,000 of your fans’ scrutinizing eyeballs.

Here’s a list of some of the other worst betting mistakes you can make:

1. Chasing your bets
2. Getting vindictive
3. Trying to win back losses
4. Go after big wins to recoup losses
5. Overly-promising wagers.

It’s like a night of heavy drinking. It might sound tempting beforehand. But the next day you’re likely to have some regret.

Remember that betting is a mathematician’s game.

There’s no large place for emotion in this game.

When it comes to the NFL, upon which more bets are placed than any other sport in America, that goes double. The oddsmakers have one job — and that’s to know their shit.

The key to beating them is knowing yours too.

The REAL game is between you and the books to see who can get the monetary advantage on bets. It has nothing to do with the teams on the field, or the sport being played.

Here is the best definition I can give you.

Sports Betting System - A SET OF RULES a sports bettor uses that work to control the game between himself and the books, designed to eliminate bad bets where the book has a monetary advantage, control the cash flow going both in and out, limit the number and types of bets made, and guide the sports bettor to the games and lines that are most likely to result in long term profits.

You could say that sports betting systems and sports betting strategy are very close to the same thing, differing only in scope. Your sports betting strategy is the general rules of engagement in the long term war against the books, and your sports betting systems are rules for winning the individual battles (games).

'Don't believe everything you hear about sports betting...'

The sports books weaknesses are hidden behind a number of fallacies that are assumed to be fact.

Until those fallacies are addressed, and corrective action taken by the bettor, the book will continue on it's merry way laughing all the way to your bankroll.

So let's expose some of the Fallacies, and replace them with the Facts.

The Fallacy of Winning Percentage

Most people believe that they have to win more than 52.4% of their bets to make a profit.

If you are betting point spreads and totals, that is correct. But if you are betting on +150 dogs you only need to win 40% to break even. And if you are betting -150 favorites you need to win 60% to break even.

So obviously, it is NOT necessary to win over 50% of your bets to be profitable.

The truth is, your winning percentage is directly tied to the lines you play. It has nothing to do with your handicapping skills, and a higher winning percentage actually makes you less likely to win money because it is a result of playing bad lines that place you under a HUGE disadvantage.

So here is the Fact to replace the fallacy...

The higher the break even percentage of the lines you play, the less likely you are to make a profit.

The Fallacy of Handicapping

You probably consider yourself a handicapper. You are not.

The sports books themselves are the handicappers, and they are BY FAR the best in the business.

The spreads and lines the books put out are usually a pretty accurate assessment of the probabilities, but that is not what wins them the cash.

They win because they are good at taking control of the monetary advantage and manipulating your fallacy based tendencies, not because they are good handicappers.

The books get you to VOLUNTARILY put yourself under a HUGE monetary disadvantage before the game even starts.

As long as they can do that, they couldn't care less about your handicapping skills. And as long as you do that, improving your handicapping skills is pointless.

They can get away with it because they have convinced you they are deserving of such a huge advantage at your expense for the privilege of taking your money.

So here is the Fact to replace the fallacy...

The books have already handicapped the game, so to win you need only concern yourself with finding the monetary advantage IN THE LINES on the bets you make.

The Fallacy of the 'Vig'

If there is one thing that continually amazes me it is the acceptance by sports bettors of the 'Vig'. Especially when the books charge almost 10% of your winnings and call it normal.

Would you join a coin flipping game where the guy flipping the coin takes 10% on every flip you win, and 100% on every flip you lose?

There is a word for someone who would play that game...

SUCKER

Yet that is exactly what the point spread bettor does on EVERY BET.

Have you ever asked why the book is worthy of such a gift?

And have you ever asked yourself if there is a bet somewhere on the card that will allow you to start out on at least an even footing with the books?

Believe me when I tell you those bets are available every single day and your ability to find them is the difference between winning and losing.

The Fact to replace the fallacy....

The 'vig' is a way for the books to fleece the unsuspecting and your main job is to avoid it. There are many bets every single day that allow you to bypass the 'vig' and not only start out on equal footing, but gain a monetary advantage on the books.

The Fallacy of Spreading the Risk

The next fallacy most people believe is that of 'Spreading the Risk'. That is, using smaller units and making several bets hoping to win more of them than you lose.

Let me assure you that making more bad bets does not 'Spread the Risk'. Instead it minimizes the potential profits and at the same time multiplies risk.

I have done the math many times, and proven in real life experience, every single time you will profit more by wagering your entire daily risk on the best game of the day than you will by splitting up the amount over several games.

Just like the books want you to take their bad lines, they want you to bet a lot of them so they have convinced some pretty smart people that making a lot of bad bets is better than making one good one.

I am comfortable in saying that 99.9% of all sports bettors place too many bets on any given day they bet. Those who don't are already my customers and know better.

The Fact to replace the fallacy....

It is far better and infinitely more profitable to place your entire daily wager amount on the game that has the best chance of paying out on any given day.

Those are just a few of the fallacies that keep even the smartest bettors losing. It's really sad because the books are not that hard to beat if you understand their business model and where their weaknesses are. That's what you will learn in DIY Sports Betting. With my top notch support, you are one click away from never having another losing year betting on sports.

Once a fallacy is considered fact, the truth becomes the enemy.

I have told you some of the fallacies that cause you to lose, and the Facts you should use to replace them.

You don't need to get better at handicapping. The books have already done all of that work and they do it far better than you ever will.

You don't need to obsess over the stats because they don't matter. A statistical advantage on a bad bet will still lose money over the long term.

You don't need to pay somebody else to make picks for you. I can assure you, based on their public picks, they are no better than you at picking games. Besides, they don't bet their own picks so why should you?

What you do need is a little uncommon knowledge like ....

• A simple Basic Strategy that guarantees you have a monetary advantage on every bet.
• Where to find the advantage and why the books are forced to put it there.
• How to build a small bankroll into a big one with little risk of busting it.
• The optimum number of bets to place each day, and why.
• The best size betting unit to play that allows for rapid bankroll growth and limited risk.

I will tell you all of that and a LOT more.

Best Online Betting Sports

Some of it you will have trouble believing until you prove it to yourself.

The books have you hoodwinked, and it is so bad that when somebody like me comes along and exposes their secrets you probably think I am crazy, or a scammer, and don't believe a word of what I say.

I am a realist, and I crunch the numbers. I have been helping people win money now for over 10 years. Many of those people have become friends and have been for years now, not because I scammed them, but because I helped them in a BIG way.

I have learned that people appreciate my help when they accept it, but most of all they appreciate my honesty and integrity in my dealings with them. I am proud that after 10 years there is not a single bad review on my systems, or me.

But also in that time I have learned that about 98% of the people that come to this page will just click away and dismiss everything I have told them. I don't think it is a coincidence that the books say 98% of all sports bettors lose money doing it.

Most people will stick with a believable lie rather than accept they may have been given some bad information. Many would rather continue losing because of the 'normalcy bias' than to try something different and win.

And the saddest thing of all is that a lot people believe investing in themselves and their future is a waste of money. Even if I guarantee the money back if I don't deliver on my word and they don't start winning.

Most people make back their investment within the first week...

It's sad that so many people just click away because I know how easy the books are to beat if you remove their advantage and take it for yourself instead. And I know how easy it is for me to teach someone like you to do just that.

I know I can't help everybody because most people don't want help.

That's just life.

But if you don't give up on yourself, I will not give on you until I have you betting at a nice profit.

The choice is yours. It's a choice between winning with something new, or to keep doing the same things you do now.

If you want to keep doing the same things, and getting the same results, I can't help you. No hard feelings, and good luck.

Now if you are ready for something new and different, with GUARANTEED results, just click the button below.

I understand that you might need a little more detail about what you will be getting before making a decision...

So here it is....

This power packed 35 page PDF ebook will tell you everything you need to know to build a winning strategy and create for yourself a monetary advantage that the sports books can never overcome.

In it's simplest terms, sports betting is just a game. It is not much different than any other game the casinos offer, with one major exception.

In sports betting YOU control the rules of the game...

The Sports Betting Strategy Guide will tell you exactly how to establish favorable rules for every aspect of sports betting. Rules that guarantee YOU will have an advantage on every bet.

Once you have read this book, you will see sports betting in a way thay you never have before.

You will know exactly what you have to do to beat the books. You will have set rules to make your life easier and guarantee your profits.

You will no longer waste countless hours looking at stats for phantom advantages on bad bets.

You will gain and maintain complete control over every aspect of the Sports Betting game and there is NOTHING the books can do about it.

It is an old adage in business that if you want to succeed, go where the money is. In sports betting, the real money is in Major League Baseball and this system will tell you how to get it.

The main part of the system is a few rules, Do's and Don'ts for picking games. Winning is always about controlling the rules you play by, and baseball is no exception.

You will also find links to the information you need to look at when trying to determine which game is the best one and most worth your money.

Also included is an example of picking a game, using screenshots from the information pages.

There is nothing hard about making money on baseball. If you follow the Basic Strategy, there is no way to lose.

There are a lot of people who don't bet baseball because they don't like the game. Don't be one of them if you want to make big money on sports betting.

If you don't bet on baseball, you are leaving most of the money on the table. And if you don't bet according to this system, you are leaving even more.

The NHL offers the sports bettor another profitable option, but like baseball many people just don't like the game so they don't bet it.

And while everybody understands baseball, many people do not know anything about hockey. I can count myself in that group, but that doesn't make the sport any less profitable.

You see, the game with the books is the same, no matter who is playing or what sport they are playing. Because hockey is a low scoring with a lot of league parity, there are profits to be made.

The NHL betting system makes it easy.

You can either bet on the money line, or the puck line.

With detailed examples you can successfully bet either type of bet.

Sports Betting Systems That Work

The information you need is linked to right in the system ebook.

Hockey is a great way to profit betting on sports, and this system is a great way to bet hockey.

The NBA can be tough to profit in because it is a spread sport and the most prevalent bet is on a terrible line the books will always have an advantage with. Just because most people decide to bet at a disadvantage doesn't mean that you have to.

The NBA betting system recognizes the fact that the NBA has the least parity of all the sports and starts out by showing you how to create parity in the games you bet, even if the league lacks it.

Another stumbling block is that the home court advantage is pretty big in the NBA.

The NBA also offers some of the biggest payouts available, on some pretty good teams that are in line with the Basic Strategy.

This NBA betting system is designed to help you get those big payouts more frequently so you never have to waste your profit buying and selling points.

The NFL is not only the sports that makes the books most of their money over the course of a year, it is also not coincidently the hardest for the bettor to show a profit in.

My NFL betting system is designed to find dogs with good payouts that have a legitimate chance of winning for you.

With conservative application this system will allow you to become the exception and actually win money during the NFL season.

I will tell you which games to look at, and what to look at to give you an advantage over the books.

In order to gain an advantage in the NFL you have to spend a little time looking at some specific stats to make sure the teams are pretty even. It doesn't take that long, but still more time than the other sports.

I bet sparingly on the NFL, but still profitably, and with this system you will profit too.

If you want to profit long term from sports betting, you need good money management.

Would you start a business without any accounting, or a plan for growth? Then why would you expect long term success in sports betting without taking those same steps?

Before I started winning, it didn't make a lot of difference that I was clueless about managing money. The extent of my money management was sending more in to the books every now and then.

But when I was taught the things I will be teaching you and started winning, I needed to control the money so I would know when to take some out. More importantly, was growing the bankroll to a big enough size that when I did cash out some profits it would do more than buy a nice dinner.

Necessity lead me to create the bankroll building system in this ebook. I know from personal experience it works, and it has received very good feedback from my customers.

How good can it work? I was able to take a single $100 bankroll with a $10 betting unit and turn it into TWO $1,000 bankrolls (a playing bankroll and a backup) with a $100 betting unit in less than two years using the exact same systems you are about to get.

Free Sports Betting Systems

I have been playing on the houses money ever since, and generally double the playing bank (and cash out) two to four times a year.

While this book is not really a part of the systems, it is one of the most important pieces of information you will come across when it comes to building your own sports betting empire.

Show Betting System

Now is the time to do something that will change your losing ways. There is some money to be made by the smart sports bettor.

• • Where to get your information.
  • Which lines offer the best profit potential, and why.
  • What sports are most profitable, and why.
  • How to control your risk.
  • The Golden Rule... The one thing that will GUARANTEE you profit.
  • The Basic Strategy... 3 simple rules to lock in profits.
  • General bet assessment skills for all sports.
  • When to bet, and when to sit out.
  • How to use progressive betting to increase profits without a lot of risk.
  • Understanding Money Lines and how to use them to assess bet value.