Waste Management Phoenix Open

• Ncaa Longshot Picks 2020
• Ncaa Longshot Picks Odds
• Ncaa Longshot Picks
• Ncaa Longshot Picks Football
• Ncaa Longshot Picks Fantasy

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Thursday, February 4, 2021 at 6:00 AM (TPC Scottsdale)

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This Thursday, the PGA Tour’s 2021 Waste Management Open will begin!

Before I discuss my longshot/sleepers golf wagers, let’s take a look at the betting odds of past champions of this event to see if we can find any historical trends.

Here is a list of the last six winners of the Waste Management Phoenix Open and that golfer’s opening odds the week they won the event:

2020 Webb Simpson +1400

2019 Rickie Fowler +2200

2018 Gary Woodland +5000

2017 Hideki Matsuyama +1100

2016 Hideki Matsuyama +2800

2015 Brooks Koepka +4000

Upon reviewing the data noted above I observe a few trends that I think are important for golf bettors to consider prior to placing any longshot wagers this week. First of all, based on the opening odds of the last six winners of this tournament, I just don’t see the eventual champion of this year’s Waste Management Phoenix Open having astronomically high odds to win. Additionally, the historical data noted above tells me that the six previous winners of this event are all outstanding ball strikers.

Now that we have discussed relevant data related to the last six winners of this week’s PGA Tour event, let’s shift our focus to my favorite longshot bets for the 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open!

Here are three golfers to consider to placing on your card to finish in the top 20 at higher odds.

Bo Hoag +500 - The 32 year old American arrives at this week's Waste Management Phoenix Open on the heels of two consecutive top 18 finishes on the PGA Tour, including a 16th place result at the American Express two weeks ago.

Nick Hardy +700 - The talented young American had to make it through Monday qualifying just to be in the field for this week's PGA Tour event. I watched his final few holes in the Monday qualifier and an interview Hardy had with the media after his round. Based on what I saw, it is obvious to me that the 25 year old from Illinois is highly motivated to succeed. Additionally, I like the fact that he recently performed at a high level on the PGA Tour. More specifically, Hardy finished 14th at the Sony Open last month.

Sam Ryder +750 - Ryder fired a third round 67 at last week's Farmers Insurance Open en route to an eventual tenth place finish. In relation to this week’s current listed 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open field, in the last eight rounds played on the PGA Tour, Ryder ranks 10th in strokes gained ball striking, fifth in strokes gained approach, and first in GIR (greens in regulation).

2019 NCAA Tournament dark horses

Which teams with long odds could surprise the College Basketball world next season and win the 2019 NCAA Tournament? Here’s our longshot picks for March Madness.

According to oddsmakers, Duke is the favorite to win it all next season, as the Blue Devils have 6/1 odds. Other short odds to win are Kentucky (7/1), Gonzaga (8/1) and Villanova (8/1). Here’s three teams with longer odds that we think could make a run.

Ncaa Longshot Picks 2020

Oregon 25/1

The Ducks aren’t a team you look at to really contend in the national picture often, but Oregon returns it’s top player from last season in Payton Pritchard. He averaged 14.5 points and 4.8 assists per game and will be in contention for Pac-12 Player of the Year. Oregon also brings in one of the top recruiting classes in the country. Rivals has Oregon third in the nation with this class, highlighted by Bol Bol, the son of Manute Bol. They also have Louis King, Will Richardson and Miles Norris. Oregon is going to have talent, they just need to get the pieces in place in time for March.

Ncaa Longshot Picks Odds

Michigan 35/1

Ncaa Longshot Picks

The mitten state was known for tournament runs by Michigan State and Tom Izzo, but it’s John Beilein and the Wolverines that have taken that over in recent years. Michigan reached the final in 2018 with a mediocre roster, but the Wolverines should be more talented in 2018-19 season. Charles Matthews and Zavier Simpson return to provide some experience and Michigan has a top-10 recruiting class that features some big in-state talent in David DeJulius and Brandon Johns. Beilein also just got a new extension and a pay raise for his staff. Everyone is all-in at Michigan and I think they can make another run in 2019.

Florida 50/1

Ncaa Longshot Picks Football

Ncaa Longshot Picks Fantasy

Guard play is always important in March and Florida should have some of the best to work with in Jalen Hudson and KeVaughn Allen. Hudson put up 15.5 points per game last season while Allen averaged 11 per contest. Florida has a small recruiting class of just three players, but all are 4-star recruits or better. Andrew Nembhard is the top get, a 5-star guard. They also add Noah Locke and Keyontae Johnson. Florida will need to develop its frontcourt and continue to defend well, but the Gators definitely have potential and could provide a huge payout in next year’s tournament.